The ridge is holding tight, huh? I see no evidence of a cold front to the west either.

Its certainly hot/humid enough for rain. I guess there's no trigger as of 1:30 pm.

I'll check back at 7:00pm for updates.

Fairfield Bureau

It seems that most stations are putting this just north of downtown, looks like a nasty event up near the Dayton area and north of there.  We're still in a moderate risk though, so I'm expecting hail and high winds regardless here in Warren county. 

Joe

Every one in the Tri-State is still considered to be in the MDT risk.

Wording from the NWS is much more stearn than the local stations. Calling for "numerous severe storms tonight."

Still a good bet for some monster storms tonight. I think the local stations are playing it safe when it comes to the severe weather. They are waiting until the storms get close enough to be able to tell you they are coming and where they are going. 

Keep it tuned to local 12, and I'll be doing frequent posts on twitter, if I can stay up that long. 

James

---

James
Wx Producer WKRC
www.twitter.com/cincywxpro

cincywxpro_12:

Keep it tuned to local 12, and I'll be doing frequent posts on twitter, if I can stay up that long. 

James

In case i didn't already tell you... I am nwswannabe1 on twitter. the name I use on here was already taken.

So any idea if we'll be dealing with just a lot of rain and hail or are we looking at possible tornadoes?  From the looks of things, appears to be a lot more rain and heavy straight line winds instead of the shear and rotation.  I know it's still hours out, just trying to get an idea.

 

First and Foremost:

Tornado Watch for Fayette and Union Counties in Indiana until 3:00 am.

 

Secondly. Looks like it will be mainly a straight line wind event with the main line which is currently in Cental Illinois. But... any storms that pop up ahead of the line have the POTENTIAL to become tornadic.

Like i have been saying keep an eye to the sky and an ear to NOAA weather radio or TV.

Let's hope for just a little wind and minor rain then...lol

Taking a look at the radar out west and there are several storms becoming tornadic in Southern IL and they don't even have a watch out down there, but they will get one here shortly.  The storms out there are moving due east.  So that will take these cells into Southern Indiana and perhaps into the Tri State if they hold together.  Taking a look at radar out of Lincoln, IL, these storms seem to be gaining a little bit of strength.

James

---

James
Wx Producer WKRC
www.twitter.com/cincywxpro

Also to note, there have been numerous Funnel cloud reports with the cells down in Southern, IL.

James

---

James
Wx Producer WKRC
www.twitter.com/cincywxpro

nwswannabe:

cincywxpro_12:

Keep it tuned to local 12, and I'll be doing frequent posts on twitter, if I can stay up that long. 

James

In case i didn't already tell you... I am nwswannabe1 on twitter. the name I use on here was already taken.

I think that I am following you and you're following me.  I'll double check.

James

---

James
Wx Producer WKRC
www.twitter.com/cincywxpro

yes we are.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1248
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0834 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...INDIANA/WRN OH

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 483...

VALID 200134Z - 200300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 483 CONTINUES.

SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW 483.

LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A BROKEN BAND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
MOVING ACROSS INDIANA AND SERN IL ATTM.  THE STORMS CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE NUMEROUS SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS...AS THE CONVECTION MOVES
THROUGH THE MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THIS REGION
/MIXED-LAYER CAPE GENERALLY 2000-2500 J/KG ATTM/.  

LATEST VWP DATA AND EVENING WILMINGTON OH RAOB REVEAL A
FAVORABLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WITH FLOW INCREASING TO 60 KT FROM
THE WSW NEAR 7 KM.  THUS -- EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
WIND DAMAGE TO CONTINUE...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.
ADDITIONALLY...ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE -- PARTICULARLY
WITH MORE ISOLATED CELLS OVER SRN IL APPROACHING SRN FRINGES OF WW
483.

---

James
Wx Producer WKRC
www.twitter.com/cincywxpro

Looks like a busy night, not much sleep in these parts now.

Joe

Not at all.

James

---

James
Wx Producer WKRC
www.twitter.com/cincywxpro